“Get Ready for the 2025 COLA: Key Changes to Social Security Payments for Retirees”
According to Lagradaonline, Almost every year, the Social Security Administration (SSA) reviews and adjusts benefits provided to Social Security recipients based on the Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA). This adjustment aims to ensure that the purchasing power of Social Security benefits remains consistent with inflation, providing a lifeline to many who depend on the program. The COLA impacts all beneficiaries, including retirees, survivors, and individuals receiving Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) and Supplemental Security Income (SSI).
The Calculation of COLA
The process of determining the adjustment is directly tied to the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). Specifically, the SSA examines CPI-W data for the third quarter of the current year—covering July, August, and September—and compares it with the CPI-W data from the same period in the previous year. The percentage increase between these two sets of data forms the basis for the COLA, which is then applied to Social Security payments for the following year.
For instance, the COLA for 2024 was calculated to be 3.2%, reflecting the inflationary trends observed in the previous year’s CPI-W data. While this adjustment was lower than those seen during the pandemic and post-pandemic years, it still exceeded the average adjustments during the past decade. As for the upcoming year, there are only predictions about the potential COLA increase, as the exact percentage has not yet been finalized or announced and will not be for at least a month.
Announcement Timeline for the 2025 COLA
The official COLA for 2025 will be announced once the necessary CPI-W data for the third quarter—July, August, and September—has been compiled and analyzed. Traditionally, this announcement occurs in October, following the release of the final CPI-W figures. Based on historical patterns, it’s anticipated that the 2025 COLA could be revealed on or around October 10th, coinciding with the release of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index report, which will include the finalized data essential for determining the COLA for the coming year.
Once the 2025 COLA is announced, the adjustment will be applied to all SSA programs, including retirement benefits and SSI payments, starting in January 2025.
Also read: $943 Social Security Payment Disbursed Today—Only Two Checks Remain Before 2025 Increase
Predictions for the 2025 Social Security Adjustment
While the official COLA for 2025 has yet to be determined, various estimates have been made to prepare seniors for potential changes. According to the most recent estimate from The Senior Citizens League, a prominent nonpartisan organization that advocates for seniors, the COLA for Social Security in 2025 might be around 2.57%. This estimate is grounded in the CPI-W data from July, although the data for August and September is still forthcoming.
Although predictions vary among experts, they generally agree that the increase will not be sufficient to cover rising expenses for those on fixed incomes, such as seniors. In fact, most projected increases would fall short of covering the anticipated upcharge in Medicare fees for 2025, let alone the impact inflation has had on essential costs like groceries, gas prices, and housing.
The situation is so dire that many believe the COLAs observed in recent years have not come close to bridging the gap between income and expenses. This has left many in a vulnerable economic position, increasingly reliant on rapidly depleting savings. While the 2025 COLA will not resolve these issues, it may help some of the vulnerable groups that receive benefits to stay afloat for a little longer.
